Everything is speculation at this point. To include me and my thoughts. We have no true way of knowing what is truly happening at this point.
All we can do is look at and analyze the data points to the best of our ability.
At this point, to me, it appears that either Trump is in charge and playing them or they are in charge and setting up for a huge false flag.
I see no evidence of any type of impending invasion/attack. Again, militarily that would be a disaster.